Two very different teams will meet on Saturday at PNC Park.
The New York Yankees are one of the favorites to win the American League pennant, boast one of the best lineups in the Major Leagues, and spent the first week of the season bashing home runs.
The Pirates are a long shot to make the playoffs, but they’re built to win games with their young, dynamic pitching staff.
Pittsburgh’s pitching rotation does have a high ceiling, but no team is going to succeed with the type of offensive numbers the Buccos put up through the first two series of the season.
Marcus Stroman and the Yankees are a XX favorite over Bailey Falter and the Pirates on Saturday afternoon.
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Yankees vs. Pirates betting preview
Falter proved he could do a job for the Pirates last season by putting up a 4.43 ERA in 142 ⅓ innings.
The 27-year-old was far from dominant, but his numbers were just fine, given the role he was asked to fill for a team with no intentions of contending.
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Falter’s underlying numbers, however, don’t paint him in a particularly positive light. He only struck out 6.13 batters per 9 innings, and his batted-ball profile is underwhelming, too.

The good news for Falter is that he’s going up against a pitcher with similar issues.
Stroman has made a career out of being crafty rather than overpowering, but his 2024 stat line left a lot to be desired, and his first outing in 2025 was not all that pretty.
Yankees vs. Pirates pick
It may be hard to stomach the idea of backing an over in a game that features the Pirates, but the Yankees should do plenty of heavy lifting against Falter.
That means you won’t be asking too much out of the Pirates, who should be able to provide some offense in a favorable pitching matchup.
The Pick: Over 9.5
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Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.
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